836
FXUS62 KTAE 020113
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
913 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 911 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Monday)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

The upper level trough will shift eastward this period taking some
the Canadian smoke overhead with it. Surface high pressure north of
the area will keep most of us dry, although some isolated showers
could develop near an offshore boundary over the marine area. Lows
will drop into the mid to upper 60s with highs Monday in the lower
90s. Apparent temps will actually be a bit lower than actual due to
continued low humidity levels.

&&

.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

An upper-level shortwave gets left behind over the southeast and
northeast Gulf through midweek as the main trough lifts northeast.
This will generally lead to rain chances remaining over our Gulf
waters and across the FL Peninsula as we remain under the main
axis of the shortwave with minimal forcing for ascent. As the week
goes on an inverted trough will swing around the periphery of the
high over the Eastern Atlantic, originating in the Caribbean. This
inverted trough will ride up the west coast of Florida before
lifting northeast across the Mid-Atlantic coastline. As it does
so, we`ll see increasing rain chances from midweek into the
weekend as unsettled weather prevails. This inverted trough is
expected to depart the region by Sunday, with high pressure once
again prevailing.

Expect a warming and moistening trend throughout the week with
daytime high temps generally in the 90s, with overnight lows
initially in the upper 60s climbing into the mid 70s by Saturday.
Dew points follow a similar trend, afternoon dews go from the
upper 50s to mid 60s on Monday into the mid 70s by Saturday. It
will feel increasingly oppressive outside each day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 705 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours with winds
becoming light and variable.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

With high pressure in control, winds will be light and variable for
a few days, occasionally reaching 15 knots as the high moves east.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

RH will be below normal for this time of year, but will not reach
critical levels. Deep mixing heights will result in very high
dispersion indices on Tuesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will return to the forecast on Tuesday and Wednesday and continue
through the weekend.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

No riverine or flash flooding concerns over the next several days.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   68  92  69  94 /   0   0   0  10
Panama City   72  88  71  90 /   0   0   0  10
Dothan        66  89  67  92 /   0   0   0  10
Albany        66  90  68  93 /   0   0   0  10
Valdosta      67  92  69  94 /   0   0   0  10
Cross City    65  92  66  93 /   0  10  10  30
Apalachicola  71  85  73  86 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...DVD
NEAR TERM...Wool
SHORT TERM...Oliver
LONG TERM....Oliver
AVIATION...Young
MARINE...Oliver
FIRE WEATHER...Wool
HYDROLOGY...Oliver