836 FXUS62 KTAE 020113 AFDTAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 913 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 911 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary. && .NEAR TERM... (Through Monday) Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 The upper level trough will shift eastward this period taking some the Canadian smoke overhead with it. Surface high pressure north of the area will keep most of us dry, although some isolated showers could develop near an offshore boundary over the marine area. Lows will drop into the mid to upper 60s with highs Monday in the lower 90s. Apparent temps will actually be a bit lower than actual due to continued low humidity levels. && .SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 An upper-level shortwave gets left behind over the southeast and northeast Gulf through midweek as the main trough lifts northeast. This will generally lead to rain chances remaining over our Gulf waters and across the FL Peninsula as we remain under the main axis of the shortwave with minimal forcing for ascent. As the week goes on an inverted trough will swing around the periphery of the high over the Eastern Atlantic, originating in the Caribbean. This inverted trough will ride up the west coast of Florida before lifting northeast across the Mid-Atlantic coastline. As it does so, we`ll see increasing rain chances from midweek into the weekend as unsettled weather prevails. This inverted trough is expected to depart the region by Sunday, with high pressure once again prevailing. Expect a warming and moistening trend throughout the week with daytime high temps generally in the 90s, with overnight lows initially in the upper 60s climbing into the mid 70s by Saturday. Dew points follow a similar trend, afternoon dews go from the upper 50s to mid 60s on Monday into the mid 70s by Saturday. It will feel increasingly oppressive outside each day. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 705 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours with winds becoming light and variable. && .MARINE... Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 With high pressure in control, winds will be light and variable for a few days, occasionally reaching 15 knots as the high moves east. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 RH will be below normal for this time of year, but will not reach critical levels. Deep mixing heights will result in very high dispersion indices on Tuesday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will return to the forecast on Tuesday and Wednesday and continue through the weekend. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 236 PM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 No riverine or flash flooding concerns over the next several days. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 68 92 69 94 / 0 0 0 10 Panama City 72 88 71 90 / 0 0 0 10 Dothan 66 89 67 92 / 0 0 0 10 Albany 66 90 68 93 / 0 0 0 10 Valdosta 67 92 69 94 / 0 0 0 10 Cross City 65 92 66 93 / 0 10 10 30 Apalachicola 71 85 73 86 / 0 10 0 10 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ UPDATE...DVD NEAR TERM...Wool SHORT TERM...Oliver LONG TERM....Oliver AVIATION...Young MARINE...Oliver FIRE WEATHER...Wool HYDROLOGY...Oliver