114
FXUS62 KFFC 101048
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
648 AM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025

...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 248 AM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025

 - Drier today in north Georgia, rain and thunderstorm chances
   continue over central Georgia, but without a severe threat.

 - Dry conditions Wednesday aside from isolated afternoon showers
   and storms in central Georgia.

Patches of dense fog have developed across much of north Georgia
early this morning, but will burn off within a few hours of
sunrise. Meanwhile, central GA continues to see periods of
showers and thunderstorms developing on the wet side of a moisture
gradient over the area. A frontal boundary will start to push into
north GA from AL/TN later on this morning, and lead to a drying
trend over the next few days. North GA could see a few showers as
this front initially moves through, but otherwise rain chances
today will be very low. This front is expected to stall out
somewhere across central to southern GA, and will reinforce the
moisture gradient across the area. Anywhere along and south of
this boundary could see rounds of showers and thunderstorms
through this afternoon and evening, but weak instability and
shear will create a near-zero severe weather threat.

On Wednesday, the relatively dry airmass will be spread across
much of the area, being reinforced by mid-level NW flow and
surface high pressure over the TN Valley. Rain chances will again
be restricted to central GA where we could see isolated showers
and weak thunderstorms, primarily during the afternoon. The severe
threat will again be near-zero.

Culver

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 248 AM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025

Key Messages:

 - Scattered rain and thunder chances through the end of the
   week.

 - More widespread rain and thunder chances over the weekend into
   early next week as moisture continues to increase across the
   Southeast.

Daily rain and thunder chances peaking during the afternoon and
evening will be the main theme through Thursday. A stalled frontal
boundary may still be in place over far south-central GA and any
remnant outflow boundaries may also impact where storms fire each
day. Can`t rule out a rogue strong or severe storm during this
period given proximity to the baroclinic boundary and plenty of
moisture in place. Though shear will be lacking. The primary
hazard would be downburst winds and perhaps some small hail.

Between Friday and Saturday, another mid-level disturbance moving
quickly through the Ohio Valley will further enhance moisture
return increasing shower and thunderstorm chances through the
weekend. With a few disturbances moving through the mid-level
flow, daily rain and thunder chances look to persist through early
next week. While widespread severe weather is not anticipated, it
is possible that a storm or two could take advantage of the moist
and unstable environment and produce severe winds and/or some
small hail. Widespread flooding is also not expected to be an
issue this week but redevelopment over areas that have already
experienced periods of heavy rainfall may cause isolated instances
of flash and/or nuisance flooding. As a reminder, any storms that
form will be capable of cloud-to-ground lightning and locally
heavy rainfall, so be sure to monitor the forecast, especially if
you have outdoor activities planned or are traveling in some
capacity.

Forecast daytime temperatures range from the mid 80s (mid to
upper 70s in the mountains) to low 90s through early next week.
Overnight lows remain mild and pleasant with forecast values in
the upper 60s to low 70s (upper 50s to low 60s in the mountains).

07

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 AM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025

IFR to LIFR CIGs impacting the ATL area sites will gradually lift
and clear by 14-15Z, with VFR conditions generally expected the
rest of the day. Could see a few SHRA during the afternoon to
early evening, with PROB30 TSRA for 18-21Z. Light SW/W winds
become 6-9 kts during the day. May see another round of IFR CIGs
develop early Tuesday AM around the ATL area sites, but confidence
is very low, better chances for that at CSG/ATH/MCN.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
Medium confidence on timing of low CIG clearing and TSRA this
afternoon. High confidence on winds.

Culver

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          84  64  88  66 /  30  10  10  10
Atlanta         85  66  88  68 /  30  10  10  10
Blairsville     80  57  82  60 /  20   0  10  10
Cartersville    85  61  88  65 /  20   0  10  10
Columbus        87  67  89  68 /  40  20  30  20
Gainesville     83  64  86  66 /  20   0  10  10
Macon           86  67  89  68 /  50  20  40  20
Rome            85  62  89  65 /  10   0   0   0
Peachtree City  85  64  88  66 /  30  10  20  10
Vidalia         86  71  89  71 /  60  40  60  40

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Culver
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Culver