920 FXUS62 KTAE 140111 AFDTAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 911 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 911 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 The forecast is on track with no changes made. && .NEAR TERM... (Through Monday) Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 High pressure remains overhead tonight leading to another night of favorable radiational cooling. This will allow lows to fall into the mid 40s to low 50s across the area. The surface high pressure slides a bit southward on Monday, with southwesterly flow beginning to kick off a gradual moisture return to the area. Still, Monday will be quite dry and warm with highs in the low to mid 80s and humidity dropping into the 25-35% range across inland areas. && .SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM... (Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 The base of an upper level shortwave trough will be approaching the Southeast on Tuesday. Associated with the trough will be a cold front. Along the cold front, there will be some ingredients that could produce a shower or thunderstorm. However, there will be inhibiting factors such as lack of lift and dry mid-levels. As a result, PoPs will remain nil. Following the front, high pressure returns and is expected to hold over the region through the end of the extended term. Temperatures for the week will have highs in the upper 70s to low 80s before the front, briefly dip to the mid-70s on Wednesday, then warm to the mid and upper 80s for the rest of the week. Morning lows will be in the upper 50s prior to the front, then dip to the low 50s and upper 40s before warming back to the mid and upper 50s by the end of the week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 716 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 VFR conditions are generally expected to prevail through the TAF period along with light to moderate westerly to southwesterly winds. A seabreeze works inland at ECP and may lead to a few higher gusts out of the south as it does so. A few gusts up near 20 knots are also possible for ABY and DHN Monday afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 Southwest breezes will develop and start to increase on Monday and Monday night, in advance of a cold front that will pass the northeast Gulf on Tuesday, fresh northerly breezes are expected behind the front. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 Dry and warm conditions are expected for the next couple of days. A dry cold front is forecast to push across the area on Tuesday, with northerly winds in its wake. High dispersions are expected for the next several days with breezy transport winds both ahead of and behind the front. Relative humidity will gradually increase Monday into early Tuesday ahead of the front before a dry airmass moves in Wednesday in the wake of the front. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025 We are not expecting any measurable rain for the next several days. There are no flooding concerns. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 47 84 57 84 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 55 77 65 79 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 50 83 58 78 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 48 84 57 79 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 48 85 56 83 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 45 83 57 80 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 54 74 63 77 / 0 0 0 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...Merrifield SHORT TERM...Montgomery LONG TERM....Montgomery AVIATION...Reese MARINE...Oliver FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield HYDROLOGY...Montgomery