920
FXUS62 KTAE 140111
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
911 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 911 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

The forecast is on track with no changes made.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Monday)
Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

High pressure remains overhead tonight leading to another night
of favorable radiational cooling. This will allow lows to fall
into the mid 40s to low 50s across the area. The surface high
pressure slides a bit southward on Monday, with southwesterly flow
beginning to kick off a gradual moisture return to the area.
Still, Monday will be quite dry and warm with highs in the low to
mid 80s and humidity dropping into the 25-35% range across inland
areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

The base of an upper level shortwave trough will be approaching
the Southeast on Tuesday. Associated with the trough will be a
cold front. Along the cold front, there will be some ingredients
that could produce a shower or thunderstorm. However, there will
be inhibiting factors such as lack of lift and dry mid-levels. As
a result, PoPs will remain nil. Following the front, high pressure
returns and is expected to hold over the region through the end
of the extended term.

Temperatures for the week will have highs in the upper 70s to low
80s before the front, briefly dip to the mid-70s on Wednesday,
then warm to the mid and upper 80s for the rest of the week.
Morning lows will be in the upper 50s prior to the front, then dip
to the low 50s and upper 40s before warming back to the mid and
upper 50s by the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 716 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

VFR conditions are generally expected to prevail through the TAF
period along with light to moderate westerly to southwesterly
winds. A seabreeze works inland at ECP and may lead to a few
higher gusts out of the south as it does so. A few gusts up near
20 knots are also possible for ABY and DHN Monday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

Southwest breezes will develop and start to increase on Monday
and Monday night, in advance of a cold front that will pass the
northeast Gulf on Tuesday, fresh northerly breezes are expected
behind the front.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

Dry and warm conditions are expected for the next couple of days.
A dry cold front is forecast to push across the area on Tuesday,
with northerly winds in its wake. High dispersions are expected
for the next several days with breezy transport winds both ahead
of and behind the front. Relative humidity will gradually increase
Monday into early Tuesday ahead of the front before a dry airmass
moves in Wednesday in the wake of the front.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 149 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

We are not expecting any measurable rain for the next several
days. There are no flooding concerns.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   47  84  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
Panama City   55  77  65  79 /   0   0   0   0
Dothan        50  83  58  78 /   0   0   0   0
Albany        48  84  57  79 /   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      48  85  56  83 /   0   0   0   0
Cross City    45  83  57  80 /   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  54  74  63  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Merrifield
SHORT TERM...Montgomery
LONG TERM....Montgomery
AVIATION...Reese
MARINE...Oliver
FIRE WEATHER...Merrifield
HYDROLOGY...Montgomery