297 FXUS62 KTAE 021826 AFDTAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 226 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 ...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY... .NEAR TERM... (Through Tuesday) Issued at 216 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Relatively benign conditions continue through tomorrow. A shift to easterly flow will allow us to see some Atlantic sea breeze action tomorrow afternoon as moisture gradually increases. Some scattered showers, and perhaps a few thunderstorms, are likely across southern GA and the FL Big Bend with decreasing chances further north and west. Expect daytime highs generally in the low to mid 90s with overnight lows generally in the mid to upper 60s. && .SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Monday) Issued at 216 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 An unsettled weather pattern will begin Wednesday as an inverted trough develops to our SE and gradually moves northward. This will coincide with a sharp increase in moisture as the induced cyclonic flow from this inverted trough begins advecting moister air into our CWA. A substantial increase in PoPs is thus forecast beginning Wednesday and continuing into Thursday as rounds of showers and thunderstorms sweep the region. The unsettled weather pattern will at the very least limit high temperatures to the high 80s/low 90s, with low temperatures near average at around the low 70s. By Friday, the aforementioned trough should fully exit the region, resulting in a more typical summertime regime characterized by scattered diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms. Highs should generally increase back into the low- mid 90s by the weekend, with lows in the low-mid 70s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 200 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 VFR conditions expected for the TAF period. Winds are expected to shift to southerly for ECP and TLH by mid-late afternoon as the sea breeze pushes inland, while DHN, ABY, and VLD remain light to variable throughout the day. All terminals will drop to VRB winds overnight before dominant easterly flow at around 8-10kts develops shortly after sunrise tomorrow. A slight chance of showers is possible near ECP by the very end of the forecast period as the sea breeze redevelops tomorrow. && .MARINE... Issued at 216 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 With high pressure in control, winds will be light to moderate for a few days, occasionally reaching 15 knots as the high moves east. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 216 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Winds begin to pick up starting tomorrow leading to high dispersions. Chances for showers and storms start to pick up beginning tomorrow afternoon with increasing chances from Wednesday into the weekend. There are currently no fire weather concerns other than the high dispersions. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 216 PM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Unsettled weather from midweek into the weekend could lead to around 1 to 2 inches of rainfall across southern GA and the FL Big Bend, with decreasing amounts to the north and west. Isolated higher amounts possible in downpours. There are currently no flooding concerns, but we could see issues arise in areas with poor drainage. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 69 92 72 87 / 0 40 30 80 Panama City 70 89 73 87 / 0 30 50 80 Dothan 66 91 71 88 / 0 20 20 70 Albany 66 92 71 87 / 0 10 10 70 Valdosta 68 93 71 86 / 0 20 20 80 Cross City 67 91 69 87 / 10 60 50 80 Apalachicola 72 85 75 84 / 10 40 70 90 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...Oliver SHORT TERM...Bowser LONG TERM....Bowser AVIATION...Bowser MARINE...Oliver FIRE WEATHER...Oliver HYDROLOGY...Oliver