090
FXUS62 KTBW 231955
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
255 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 255 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

High pressure along the Mid-Atlantic coast will drift east out
into the western Atlantic Ocean over the next couple of day with
a weak area of low pressure developing off the southeast U.S.
coast moving northeast away from the region. This will keep a
low level east to northeast flow across the area which will
continue to bring Atlantic moisture westward leading to scattered
to broken stratocumulus. Later tonight it still looks like we`ll
see some low clouds and fog develop and spread into the Nature
Coast and Interstate 4 corridor making it a little further south
then this morning. Otherwise, partly to mostly sunny skies are
expected for the rest of Tuesday. Wednesday through Friday the
flow will be more easterly with deeper moisture moving back north
as an upper level shortwave trough moves into the southeast
states. This will lead to more clouds and possibly a few
showers/sprinkles each day. Late in the week deeper troughing
moves into the the central U.S. and shifts into the eastern U.S.
over the weekend. Surface low pressure will move by well to the
north, but a trailing cold front is expected to move south through
the region Sunday or Sunday night. Therefore, the threat of a few
showers will continue through the weekend with temperatures
remaining a few degrees above normal. Slightly cooler drier
weather returns behind the boundary for early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 255 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

VFR conditions should prevail through early tonight with just some
areas of broken stratocumulus at 4000 to 6000 feet. Late tonight
some areas of low clouds and fog are expected to develop and
spread southwest into the Tampa Bay area, but at this time it
still looks like the worst conditions will affect LAL, with mainly
just some low ceilings moving into TPA and PIE. Northeast to east
winds at 5 to 10 knots will continue, except shifting to northwest
for a few hours later this afternoon and early evening at TPA,
PIE, and SRQ as the sea breeze moves inland.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 255 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

Northeast to east flow will persist across the waters for the rest
of the week with no headlines expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 255 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

High pressure will hold over the region for the next couple of days
with partly to mostly cloudy skies and mild temperatures. No fire
weather hazards are expected as sufficient low level moisture will be
in place to keep minimum relative humidity values well above critical
levels and winds will remain less than 15 mph. Moisture will increase
enough Wednesday afternoon through Friday to allow for a few showers
to develop each afternoon and evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  55  75  56  75 /   0   0   0  10
FMY  58  79  60  79 /   0   0   0  20
GIF  55  76  56  76 /   0   0   0  10
SRQ  56  77  57  77 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  47  74  48  75 /   0   0   0  10
SPG  58  72  59  73 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

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