666
FXUS62 KMFL 110015 AAB
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Miami FL
815 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 811 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

A line of showers developed over the western interior areas early
this evening where the sea breezes collide. This line of showers
should dissipate through rest of the evening hours as the heating
of the day is lost. Therefore, isolated to scattered showers have
been added over the western areas of south Florida for rest of
this evening before going dry. Rest of South Florida should remain
dry tonight.

The seas will continue to subside over the Atlantic waters this
evening and should be below 7 feet by late tonight. Therefore, the
SCA will remain in place until around 2 AM EDT for the Atlantic
waters.

Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes
are planned.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1115 AM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

As an upper level shortwave axis sits just off the Atlantic coast
with a surface low to our east, wrap around moisture allows for
light showers to linger across our east coast and over our local
Atlantic waters. With some convergence later today, there may be
some light showers late this afternoon over Mainland Monroe and Cape
Florida. Following cool morning temperatures, afternoon highs will
warm into the upper 70s to lower 80s across the east coast metro
with low and middle 80s in southwest Florida. Northwesterly winds
will begin to veer to the northeast this afternoon, as well as
increase in speed and bringing breezy conditions to the east coast.
Winds overnight become nearly calm, and with mostly clear skies
expected, patchy fog will be possible over interior South FL in the
typical locations, such as near Lake Okeechobee and Alligator Alley.
Low temperatures will be comfortable ranging from the upper 50s over
the interior to upper 60s along the eastern coast.

On Friday, a cold front, associated with a system moving towards the
Mid-Atlantic, will start to approach from the north, likely making
it to central FL by early in the evening. Meanwhile, the next
shortwave will dive down from the northern Plains towards the SE US.
Light winds will gradually become westerly by the afternoon.
However, an east coast sea breeze developing during the afternoon
may help touch off some occasional showers across the east coast
metro in the mid-afternoon to early evening hours. However, with
uncertain model guidance, the upcoming forecast keeps potential to
10-15% for light rainfall. Moisture will be limited, but
sufficient for a few isolated showers. The upcoming 12Z sounding
will provide guidance for the atmospheric conditions tomorrow.
High temperatures on Friday will be seasonal, ranging from the
low to middle 80s across the region.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 204 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

This Weekend Into Early Next Week...
A deep trough of low pressure will remain over the Eastern United
States this weekend into early next week. This in turn will allow
for a surface high to work into the Florida Peninsula from the
west this weekend before moving into the Western Atlantic waters
early next week.

This weather pattern will allow for a northerly flow this weekend
before going to more of an east southeast flow early next week
over South Florida. The northerly flow will allow for very dry air
to work into the region from the north this weekend and remain
over the region into early next week keeping the weather dry.

Highs this weekend will be upper 70s to lower 80s before
increasing to the lower to mid 80s early next week. Lows this
weekend will be in the lower to mid 50s over most areas, except
around 60 over the east coast metro areas. Lows early next week
will be a little bit warmer in the mid to upper 50s over most
areas except lower to mid 60s east coast metro areas.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 654 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

The ongoing showers over the east coast metro areas should be
dissipated by the time the 00Z TAFs start. Therefore, the TAF
sites will be dry for tonight. The winds will be decreasing from
the northeast and should be at 5 knots or less after 00Z tonight.
The only exception is KAPF taf site where the winds will remain
northwest through 02Z before going VRB05 KTS. Ceiling and Vis
will be in VFR conditions at all TAF sites tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1115 AM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

Moderate northerly winds are expected across the local waters
through early Friday. A northerly swell in the Atlantic will
result in hazardous seas of 6-10 ft through late tonight.
Cautionary conditions are expected this weekend as another front
crosses the local waters.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1115 AM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025

Northeasterly winds and an increasing swell will result in a high
risk of rip currents today for the Palm Beach and Broward County
beaches, with an elevated threat at Miami-Dade beaches. The
elevated risk will persist through Friday. The threat for the Gulf
coast beaches will increase this weekend as onshore flow develops
due to a passing cold front.

Increasing swell will result in large breaking waves of 5-7 ft in
the surf zone off coastal Palm Beach county today. This will
result in dangerous surfing and swimming conditions leading to a High
Surf Advisory in effect through late tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            68  84  65  82 /  10  10  10   0
West Kendall     65  86  61  83 /  20  10   0   0
Opa-Locka        67  86  63  83 /  10  10   0   0
Homestead        67  84  63  83 /  20  10  10   0
Fort Lauderdale  68  82  64  80 /  10  10  10   0
N Ft Lauderdale  67  83  64  80 /  10  10  10   0
Pembroke Pines   68  87  66  85 /  10  10  10   0
West Palm Beach  66  84  63  80 /  10  10  10   0
Boca Raton       66  84  63  82 /  10  10  10   0
Naples           64  81  65  77 /  10   0  10   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday morning for FLZ168.

     High Surf Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for FLZ168.

     High Rip Current Risk until 8 AM EDT Friday for FLZ172.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for AMZ650-651-670-
     671.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JS
LONG TERM....BNB
AVIATION...JS