666 FXUS62 KMFL 110015 AAB AFDMFL Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Miami FL 815 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 811 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025 A line of showers developed over the western interior areas early this evening where the sea breezes collide. This line of showers should dissipate through rest of the evening hours as the heating of the day is lost. Therefore, isolated to scattered showers have been added over the western areas of south Florida for rest of this evening before going dry. Rest of South Florida should remain dry tonight. The seas will continue to subside over the Atlantic waters this evening and should be below 7 feet by late tonight. Therefore, the SCA will remain in place until around 2 AM EDT for the Atlantic waters. Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes are planned. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Friday) Issued at 1115 AM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025 As an upper level shortwave axis sits just off the Atlantic coast with a surface low to our east, wrap around moisture allows for light showers to linger across our east coast and over our local Atlantic waters. With some convergence later today, there may be some light showers late this afternoon over Mainland Monroe and Cape Florida. Following cool morning temperatures, afternoon highs will warm into the upper 70s to lower 80s across the east coast metro with low and middle 80s in southwest Florida. Northwesterly winds will begin to veer to the northeast this afternoon, as well as increase in speed and bringing breezy conditions to the east coast. Winds overnight become nearly calm, and with mostly clear skies expected, patchy fog will be possible over interior South FL in the typical locations, such as near Lake Okeechobee and Alligator Alley. Low temperatures will be comfortable ranging from the upper 50s over the interior to upper 60s along the eastern coast. On Friday, a cold front, associated with a system moving towards the Mid-Atlantic, will start to approach from the north, likely making it to central FL by early in the evening. Meanwhile, the next shortwave will dive down from the northern Plains towards the SE US. Light winds will gradually become westerly by the afternoon. However, an east coast sea breeze developing during the afternoon may help touch off some occasional showers across the east coast metro in the mid-afternoon to early evening hours. However, with uncertain model guidance, the upcoming forecast keeps potential to 10-15% for light rainfall. Moisture will be limited, but sufficient for a few isolated showers. The upcoming 12Z sounding will provide guidance for the atmospheric conditions tomorrow. High temperatures on Friday will be seasonal, ranging from the low to middle 80s across the region. && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through next Wednesday) Issued at 204 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025 This Weekend Into Early Next Week... A deep trough of low pressure will remain over the Eastern United States this weekend into early next week. This in turn will allow for a surface high to work into the Florida Peninsula from the west this weekend before moving into the Western Atlantic waters early next week. This weather pattern will allow for a northerly flow this weekend before going to more of an east southeast flow early next week over South Florida. The northerly flow will allow for very dry air to work into the region from the north this weekend and remain over the region into early next week keeping the weather dry. Highs this weekend will be upper 70s to lower 80s before increasing to the lower to mid 80s early next week. Lows this weekend will be in the lower to mid 50s over most areas, except around 60 over the east coast metro areas. Lows early next week will be a little bit warmer in the mid to upper 50s over most areas except lower to mid 60s east coast metro areas. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 654 PM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025 The ongoing showers over the east coast metro areas should be dissipated by the time the 00Z TAFs start. Therefore, the TAF sites will be dry for tonight. The winds will be decreasing from the northeast and should be at 5 knots or less after 00Z tonight. The only exception is KAPF taf site where the winds will remain northwest through 02Z before going VRB05 KTS. Ceiling and Vis will be in VFR conditions at all TAF sites tonight. && .MARINE... Issued at 1115 AM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Moderate northerly winds are expected across the local waters through early Friday. A northerly swell in the Atlantic will result in hazardous seas of 6-10 ft through late tonight. Cautionary conditions are expected this weekend as another front crosses the local waters. && .BEACHES... Issued at 1115 AM EDT Thu Apr 10 2025 Northeasterly winds and an increasing swell will result in a high risk of rip currents today for the Palm Beach and Broward County beaches, with an elevated threat at Miami-Dade beaches. The elevated risk will persist through Friday. The threat for the Gulf coast beaches will increase this weekend as onshore flow develops due to a passing cold front. Increasing swell will result in large breaking waves of 5-7 ft in the surf zone off coastal Palm Beach county today. This will result in dangerous surfing and swimming conditions leading to a High Surf Advisory in effect through late tonight. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Miami 68 84 65 82 / 10 10 10 0 West Kendall 65 86 61 83 / 20 10 0 0 Opa-Locka 67 86 63 83 / 10 10 0 0 Homestead 67 84 63 83 / 20 10 10 0 Fort Lauderdale 68 82 64 80 / 10 10 10 0 N Ft Lauderdale 67 83 64 80 / 10 10 10 0 Pembroke Pines 68 87 66 85 / 10 10 10 0 West Palm Beach 66 84 63 80 / 10 10 10 0 Boca Raton 66 84 63 82 / 10 10 10 0 Naples 64 81 65 77 / 10 0 10 0 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday morning for FLZ168. High Surf Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for FLZ168. High Rip Current Risk until 8 AM EDT Friday for FLZ172. AM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for AMZ650-651-670- 671. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...JS LONG TERM....BNB AVIATION...JS