303
FXUS62 KTBW 201753
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1253 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry mild conditions through the weekend and into next week.

- Patchy, dense fog possible late tonight early tomorrow morning.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1240 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

A chilly start this morning thanks to yesterday`s weak cold front
that moved through without much notice. Temperatures will warm to
the low 70s to low 80s through the afternoon under mostly clear
skies. With effective radiational cooling this evening, low
temperatures will once again dip down to the upper 30s (north) to
low 60s (south).

High pressure will dominate the pattern through the
remainder of the weekend into next week. This will mean very little
day to day changes for the foreseeable future. High and low
temperatures will increase slightly by Sunday and level out with
lows in the 50s/60s and highs in the 70s/low 80s through the
forecast period. One slight change to the pattern will be an
increase in the E-NE winds Monday thanks to reinforcing high
pressure.

Patchy, dense fog will also be possible tomorrow morning,
especially inland areas and those prone to fog.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1240 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

VFR conditions continue. Patchy fog is expected to develop overnight
into the morning hours tomorrow and could impact TAF sites,
especially, southern sites and inland areas. Fog should lift by
mid morning and VFR conditions will once again prevail.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1240 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

Pleasant boating conditions through the weekend as winds remain
below 10kts. However the pressure gradient is expected to tighten on
Monday, increasing winds briefly to cautionary levels.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1240 PM EST Sat Dec 20 2025

With dry air filtering in, RH values will drop below critical levels
along the Nature Coast. However, wind will remain below 15 mph.
Moisture begins to increase Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  57  79  59  80 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  61  83  62  82 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  56  80  58  79 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  57  80  60  80 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  44  80  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  61  77  62  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Carlisle