917
FXUS62 KTBW 180028
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
728 PM EST Wed Dec 17 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warming trend continues through Thursday, then a slight cool down
  on Friday and Saturday.

- Increasing chances for showers and a few thunderstorms Thursday
  night into early Friday morning.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 726 PM EST Wed Dec 17 2025

It has been another pleasant afternoon as high pressure continued to
ridge across the area. This has allowed for mostly sunny to partly
cloudy skies and above average temperatures in the mid 70s to low
80s to prevail across west central and southwest Florida. Overnight
temperatures tonight will run about 5-7 degrees above average
dipping only into the mid 50s north to the low 60s central and
south. High pressure lifts further northeastward on Thursday and
will produce southeast through southwest winds and warm temperatures
once again. An area of low pressure and cold front will move across
Florida late Thursday into early Friday morning bringing increasing
rain and storms chances to the area. A slight cool down expected
behind this front on Friday and Saturday. No significant changes
needed to current forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 726 PM EST Wed Dec 17 2025

VFR, rain-free conditions and light east-southeast winds less than
10 knots expected overnight. Winds shift south-southeast through
south-southwest and become gusty on Thursday afternoon ahead of a
cold front that will move through the area bringing showers and
storms late Thursday evening into early Friday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 726 PM EST Wed Dec 17 2025

High pressure off the mid-Atlantic states lifts further
northeastward away from the area. Southeast winds around 10-15 knots
will shift southwesterly late Thursday into Friday ahead of the next
cold front expected to move through the area late Thursday evening
into early Friday morning. This front will bring increasing rain and
storm chances to the area. The cold front pushes east of Florida by
mid-morning on Friday bringing clearing conditions and northerly
winds around 15 knots all day Friday. Conditions further improve by
Saturday with winds dropping below 10 knots and seas less than 2
feet for the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  63  80  68  77 /   0  20  50  10
FMY  62  84  69  82 /   0  20  30   0
GIF  60  81  66  79 /   0  20  40   0
SRQ  62  81  68  79 /   0  30  50   0
BKV  57  80  62  76 /  10  30  50   0
SPG  65  79  69  76 /   0  20  50  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Hurt