883
FXUS62 KTBW 211838
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
138 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 136 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

A cold front continues to push southeast of Florida. Clearing
conditions over most of the state is apparent on the latest visible
satellite imagery with some residual clouds remaining over south
Florida. Strong high pressure builds in from the northwest and will
help filter in some drier and cooler air into the region with clear
skies expected overnight. This high pressure will remain the
dominant weather feature into the weekend. Mostly sunny skies, much
cooler temperatures and lower humidity can be expected through the
remainder of the week and into the weekend. Overnight lows tonight
will dip into the low to mid 40`s north to the mid 40`s to mid 50`s
central, south and coastal. The coldest nights will be Friday and
Saturday nights with widespread lows dipping into the 40`s and 50`s.
Some pockets of upper 30`s may be possible on Friday and Saturday
nights over the interior parts of the Nature Coast. Daytime highs
through Saturday will only reach the mid 60`s to low 70`s, then
slowly moderating closer to average by next Monday through the
middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 136 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

VFR, rain-free conditions and north-northwest winds around 8-12
knots with gusts to 22 knots prevail at all terminals through the
period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 136 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

A cold front continues to move southeast of Florida. Gusty winds are
expected behind this front, which has warranted the continuance of a
Small Craft Advisory through Friday morning. A High Risk of Rip
Currents will also be possible through Saturday evening. Conditions
slowly improve starting Saturday afternoon with pleasant weather,
decreasing winds and abating seas expected on Sunday and into next
week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 136 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2024

High pressure builds into the area for the remainder of the week and
into the weekend producing rain-free conditions, cooler temperatures
and lower humidity. RH values will hover between 35-55 percent each
afternoon, with some brief periods below 35 percent possible along
the interior Nature Coast counties. Gusty northerly winds will also
produce some moderate to high dispersions over the next couple of
days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  54  68  48  67 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  53  73  49  70 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  48  69  43  67 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  58  70  50  70 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  45  67  40  66 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  60  68  55  67 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-
     Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Friday for Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal
     waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
     Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-
     Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to
     60 NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT...ADavis