294
FXUS62 KMFL 132348
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
748 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Monday)
Issued at 1147 AM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

High pressure settling in over the region will bring a lightening
easterly wind flow and a dry pattern to kick off the week. Rain will
remain out of the forecast along with little in terms of cloud cover
through Monday. A northeasterly to easterly wind flow today will
become light and variable overnight before returning out of the east-
southeast on Monday. Temperatures tonight will range from the mid
50s inland to the lower to mid 60s along the coast. Some areas along
the immediate Atlantic coast could remain around 70. High
temperatures will climb on Monday with upper 70s along the sea
breeze cooled Atlantic coast ranging up to the mid to upper 80s over
inland Southwest Florida.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 226 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

In general, rather weak mid level troughing remains over the
region through the middle of the week. At the surface, high
pressure shifts further into the western Atlantic as a weakening
boundary pushes through the Florida Panhandle on Tuesday. This
weakening frontal boundary will gradually push southeastward
Tuesday night into Wednesday across the Florida Peninsula. The
latest global and ensemble model guidance suite continue to
remain in agreement that this front will be very weak to almost
becoming diffuse as it passes through the region. While some
moisture advection will be taking place out ahead of the front, it
will still have problems overcoming the dry air mass already in
place which will keep shower chances very minimal to non existent
as it passes through. High temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday
will generally range from the lower 80s along both of the
immediate east and west coast to the mid to upper 80s across the
interior sections.

Heading into the second half of the week, mid level troughing
exits the region and moves into the western Atlantic as deep mid
level ridging builds into South Florida from the Gulf. At the
surface, the very weak frontal boundary exits to the south as a
large area of high pressure centered off to the north builds into
South Florida. This area of high pressure will be the main
synoptic feature influencing the sensible weather across the
region for the end of the week and heading into the upcoming
weekend. With plenty of subsidence in place, dry air will hold
steady across the region during this time frame along with a
moderate easterly wind flow. High temperatures for Thursday
through Saturday will generally range from the lower 80s across
the east coast to around 90 across interior portions of Southwest
Florida.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 747 PM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

Light and variable winds overnight with VFR cigs and vis
continuing throughout the entire 00z TAF period. Winds will veer
onshore during the afternoon hours tomorrow with southwesterly
winds at KAPF by 17-19z, increasing southeasterly flow for all
east coast terminals as the Atlantic sea-breeze moves in.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1147 AM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

Benign conditions return across the local waters heading into
this week. A light to gentle breeze is expected with dry
conditions. Seas will be 2-4 feet in the Atlantic and 1-3 feet in
the Gulf.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1147 AM EDT Sun Apr 13 2025

A prolonged period of dry air will settle over South Florida for
much of this week. Relative humidity values could fall to or below
critical thresholds each day, which may lead to elevated fire
weather concerns. 20 foot winds will generally remain below
critical levels, but there remains a chance for some mixing to
occur that could increase winds at times.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            69  82  67  84 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     63  84  63  86 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        66  84  66  86 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        66  82  66  83 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  68  80  66  83 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  68  81  66  83 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   67  85  67  88 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  65  82  64  85 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       67  82  65  85 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           61  83  64  81 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....CWC
AVIATION...Hadi