219
FXUS62 KMFL 231802
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
102 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1235 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

South Florida will remain on the periphery of surface high
pressure centered over the eastern United States. A slight
weakness in that ridge over the Atlantic coast of central Florida
could allow for a localized area of low pressure to develop off
the Space Coast and move northward through Tuesday. While this
should be of minimal impact to much of southern Florida, it will
be worth monitoring if this feature does indeed develop and where
it does. Some convection cannot be ruled out over and around the
Atlantic waters, but a reinforcing pocket of drier should wrap
around this feature, if it were to develop, by the end of the
forecast period and keep rain chances limited over most of the
peninsula.

Temperatures continue to moderate with a slight warming trend.
Overnight drainage flow should mid to upper 50s to return across
Southwest Florida and the Lake region with 60s elsewhere.
Temperatures will warm to the mid 70s to around 80 on Tuesday
afternoon though cloud cover could slow down the morning warm up
along the east coast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 102 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

Increasing moisture is expected mid to late week and into the
upcoming weekend as a surface frontal boundary will be draped across
central to northern FL and a series of shortwaves pass by to the
north. While none of the days will be washouts, PoPs of 20-30% are
expected each day with perhaps a slight chance of thunder late week
into early this weekend as deeper moisture moves into South FL.

Temperatures for the extended period will be near normal, with highs
generally ranging from the upper 70s to lower 80s, and low temps in
the 60s to around 70 closer to the Atlantic coast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

Generally VFR through the period with generally easterly to
northeasterly wind flow. Brief showers off the Atlantic cannot be
ruled out. As we enter Tuesday morning, increasing cloud cover
will move in from the Atlantic.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

Moderate winds will continue to veer to the east with a northeast
component at times early this week. Seas will be in the 3-5 feet
range in the Atlantic waters and 2-3 feet in the Gulf waters.
Chances for light showers will arise by Tuesday and into the mid-
week period. Cannot rule out some isolated thunderstorm activity
mid to late week, particularly over the Gulfstream.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1235 PM EST Mon Dec 23 2024

A high risk for rip currents continues for the Palm Beaches and will
expand south to the Broward beaches as winds shift to an easterly
and onshore direction. This elevated risk could expand further
south later this week and persist for several days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            65  79  69  79 /  10  10  10  20
West Kendall     61  80  64  81 /  10  10  10  20
Opa-Locka        63  80  67  81 /  10  10  10  20
Homestead        65  79  68  80 /  10  10  10  20
Fort Lauderdale  66  77  69  78 /  10  20  10  20
N Ft Lauderdale  65  77  68  78 /  10  20  10  20
Pembroke Pines   65  81  67  82 /  10  10  10  20
West Palm Beach  63  77  67  78 /   0  20  20  20
Boca Raton       65  79  68  79 /  10  20  20  20
Naples           59  78  61  78 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday morning for FLZ168.

     High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday morning for FLZ172.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...RAG