677
FXUS62 KTBW 230544
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1244 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy fog, which may be locally dense, will be possible during
  the late night and early morning hours for the next several
  days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1225 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025
High pressure centered over the mid Atlantic coast will shift
south over the Florida peninsula today and tonight...and will
remain over the region through the remainder of the week and the
weekend. The rather stagnant pattern with mostly clear to partly
cloudy skies and light winds will increase the likelihood of
patchy to areas of fog developing during the late night and early
morning hours for the next several days. Fog may be locally dense.
Initially, the best chance for fog will be across the nature coast
tonight...with areal coverage likely increasing on each
successive night, mainly away from the coast.

Highs each day will generally be in the upper 70s to the lower
80s...with overnight lows generally in the lower to mid 50s
north, mid to upper 50s central, and upper 50s to around 60 south.

Potential for a significant pattern change early next week as a
deep east coast U/L trough may develop with an associated cold
front pushing across west central and southwest
Florida advecting much cooler drier Canadian air over the region.
This could create the risk for freezing overnight temperatures
across portions of the nature coast. Will continue to monitor how
this pattern change evolves over the next several days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025
Areas of VFR CIGs 040-060 will persist at all terminals through
the early morning hours. Skies will become mostly sunny after
sunrise with VFR conditions persisting with FEW-SCT040-050 and
SCT250 at all terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1225 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025
Winds and seas will gradually subside today. High pressure will
hold over the waters the remainder of the week with rather benign
conditions with relatively light winds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1225 AM EST Tue Dec 23 2025
No fire weather hazards are expected as sufficient moisture will
keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values well above
critical levels throughout the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  81  60  80  60 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  83  59  82  59 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  80  57  80  57 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  81  59  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  82  49  81  48 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  79  62  78  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Oglesby
DECISION SUPPORT...Oglesby
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby