751 FXUS61 KPHI 020729 AFDPHI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 329 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure gradually shifts offshore through midweek. Temperatures will warm each day, with above normal temperatures expected by Wednesday and Thursday. Conditions will remain dry through Wednesday, then a more unsettled pattern will take shape starting Thursday, and especially by Friday and Saturday with increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... High pressure will shift more squarely overhead Monday, bringing dry conditions through the day. Temperatures will warm into the low to mid 70s, still about 5 degrees below climo. Nighttime lows will fall into the upper 40s to mid 50s. Winds will remain light out of the WNW during the day, becoming variable overnight. While Monday will be mostly cloud-free and dry, our daytime sunshine could be a tad hazy due to smoke aloft from Canadian wildfires, especially towards the late afternoon and evening hours headed towards sunset. Thankfully, we do not expect the smoke to reach the ground and cause any air quality issues at the surface at this time. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... The early to midweek period will experience a warming temperature trend and dry weather as high pressure inches offshore, bringing a warm southwest flow across the region. Temperatures will quickly trend to above normal, with highs near 80 degrees Tuesday and into the mid 80s by Wednesday. Lows ranging from the mid to upper 50s Tuesday night and likely not cooling below 60 Wednesday night. A strong upper level ridging pattern will help keep conditions dry Tuesday and Wednesday. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... A more unsettled weather pattern will begin to take shape late week and into the early part of the weekend. The strong upper level ridging pattern across the eastern US will begin weakening Thursday as a weak troughing pattern takes hold across the Great Lakes region and eventually move into the northeastern US towards the end of the week. Surface high pressure will drift further offshore, but continue warm southwest flow across the region. The warmest day of the week still appears to be Thursday with widespread upper 80s and even a few 90s! Thursday should remain mostly dry, save for possibly near/north of I-78. The more unsettled weather arrives Friday and Saturday as a low out of the Great Lakes moves into the Northeast with a cold front moving across the Mid Atlantic. There still remains a bit of differences in the exact details and timing across global guidance, but the general consensus places rain chances for Friday and Saturday. Another warm day Friday with mid to upper 80s, but increased cloud coverage is expected to keep temperatures a few degrees cooler than Thursday. Low to mid 80s can be expected for Saturday ahead of the cold front. By Sunday, high pressure is expected to build back in with seasonable temperatures behind the frontal passage. && .AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas. Early this morning (through 12Z)...VFR. Winds light and variable in nature at all terminals. High confidence. Monday...VFR and clear skies. Northwest winds around 5-10 kt. High confidence. Monday night...VFR. Winds light and variable. Outlook... Tuesday through Thursday...VFR. Friday...Sub-VFR possible in scattered showers/storms. && .MARINE... No marine headlines are in effect through Monday night. Winds generally 10 kts or less. Seas of around 2 feet. Fair weather. Outlook... Tuesday thru Wednesday...Sub-SCA with fair weather. Thursday and Friday...SCA conditions possible. SSW winds gusting to around 20 kts. Showers and storms possible on Friday. Rip Currents... For Monday...Northwest winds around 5-10 mph in the morning, will become southerly in the afternoon. Breaking waves around 1-2 feet with a period of 6-7 seconds. As a result, there is a LOW risk for dangerous rip currents for all beaches. For Tuesday...West winds around 5-10 mph in the morning, will become southerly in the afternoon. Breaking waves around 1-2 feet with a period of 7-8 seconds. As a result, there is a LOW risk for dangerous rip currents for all beaches. For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...MJL NEAR TERM...MJL SHORT TERM...MJL LONG TERM...MJL AVIATION...MJL MARINE...MJL