506 FXUS66 KSGX 091623 AFDSGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Diego CA 923 AM PDT Wed Jul 9 2025 .SYNOPSIS... Heat peaks today and Thursday for inland locations. Conditions will return to slightly below average west of the mountains for the weekend into next week, with above average temperatures remaining in the deserts. A shallow marine layer with patchy low clouds and fog near the coast Thursday morning, with a more uniform marine layer cloud deck that will reach into the western valleys returning for the weekend into early next week. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES... Marine layer low cloud and fog coverage was patchy overnight and did not make it much past the beaches. The high pressure aloft centered over Arizona and New Mexico has expanded west today, allowing some monsoonal moisture into the region. Precipitable water on the 12Z KNKX sounding this morning was 1.08 inches. Even with the moisture influx, dry conditions will prevail with just an increase in mid to high level cloud coverage expected. The high will continue to move west into Thursday, becoming more centered over Southern California. The high pressure aloft will keep the marine layer shallower and any additional influx in moisture will keep any marine layer low cloud coverage patchy and confined to coastal areas tonight into Thursday morning. With the upper level high expanding west across Southern California today and Thursday, above average temperatures are expected for inland locations. Highs today and Thursday are expected to be 5 to 10 degrees above average for inland locations. High temperatures will range from the 70s near the coast; to the 90s to 105 for the Inland Empire; and 114 to 118 for the lower deserts. In the mountains below 5000 ft, highs are expected to be in the mid-80 to upper 90s. Widespread moderate HeatRisk is expected for the valleys and mountains, with widespread major HeatRisk in the low deserts. Make sure you`re staying hydrated, seeking shade, and avoiding strenuous activity during the hottest parts of the day if possible. High pressure aloft will remain over Southern California Friday into early next week, but will weaken slightly and continue to move westward over the Pacific. Highs on Friday are expected to be 4 to 8 degrees cooler than Thursday across the area. For the weekend into the middle of next week, there will be minor day to day fluctuations in highs temperatures. NBM high temperatures for the coast and valleys are forecast to be up to 5 degrees below average with the deserts around 5 degrees above average. The marine layer will deepen Sunday through Tuesday with night and morning low clouds extending inland to the western valleys through the middle of next week. && .AVIATION... 091530Z....Coast...FEW-SCT high clouds AOA 20 kft. Patchy low clouds based 800-1100 feet MSL over nearshore waters slowly decrease in coverage over the next few hours. Clouds with similar bases return to coastal waters overnight with areas of BKN CIGs over coastal SD County after 09z Thursday. 60-70% chance at KSAN and 40-50% chance at KCRQ. Scattering to the coast again by 16z. Valleys/Mountains/Deserts...VFR conditions with FEW-SCT thin high clouds AOA 20 kft through Thu. && .MARINE... Northwest wind gusts around 20 kts near San Clemente Island this afternoon and evening, diminishing after 06z. Otherwise, no hazardous marine weather is expected through Sunday. && .SKYWARN... Skywarn activation is not requested. However weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather conditions. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CA...Heat Advisory until 8 PM PDT Thursday for Riverside County Mountains-San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys-The Inland Empire-San Diego County Mountains-San Diego County Valleys. Extreme Heat Warning until 8 PM PDT Thursday for Coachella Valley-San Diego County Deserts-San Gorgonio Pass near Banning. PZ...None. && $$ PUBLIC...CO AVIATION/MARINE...KW