608
FXUS66 KMTR 262113 CCA
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
213 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 148 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

- Below to near seasonal normal temperatures through Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 148 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025
(This evening through Sunday)

Satellite imagery this afternoon shows mostly clear skies over the
Bay Area and Central Coast; however, some pesky stratus remains
along the coasts of the Bay Area and southern Monterey County. Expect
another cloudy night as stratus returns with the marine layer
potentially being around 2000-2500 feet. Patchy fog and coastal
drizzle will likely be present again tonight into Sat morning. By
mid to late Sat morning, stratus will begin to retreat to the coast.
Another seasonably to unseasonably cool day is on tap with
temperatures being roughly 5 to 25 degrees cooler in some spots.

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 148 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025
(Sunday night through next Friday)

The forecast will  be mostly on repeat this period. The marine layer
is expected to compress Sunday into early next week falling to
around 1000ft +/- a couple of hundred feet. This will keep the
stratus creeping too far inland; however, a deepening marine looks
to return mid week. What does that mean, No Sky July continues and
we`ll start off August as Fogust. Cloudy nights, stratus retreating
to the coast during the day, and near seasonal to below seasonal
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1028 AM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

Solid marine layer to start the day with widespread IFR to MVFR
conditions with a mix of drizzle to light rain at times. However,
latest trends from observations, satellite, and cams are showing
gradual improvement. Terminals LVK/SJC and southward will be
going VFR by 19Z if they haven`t already. SFO/OAK northward will
struggle to clear by 20Z with continued onshore flow and solid
stratus feed. The near term wrinkle in all of it is the stratus
deck over the waters is a mix of open/close cellular strato-cu.
Meaning, we`re seeing pockets of rapid clearing given some low
level mixing. That being said, confidence is moderate to high
(60-80%) that SFO/OAK will see at least a few hours of VFR this
afternoon. Fro tonight, more of the same with a marine layer
cloud deck returning early and persisting through most of the TAF
period.

Vicinity of SFO...CIGS have lifted, but still BKN. Will keep
previous 2030Z SCT time as it still looks reasonable. Cigs return
early this evening and then lower again by Sunday AM.

SFO Bridge Approach...Earlier clearing of approach, especially S
end of SF Bay.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Transitioning to VFR 18-19Z. Cigs return
early this evening.

&&

.MARINE...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 931 AM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

Light to moderate northwest winds remain over the coastal waters
as high pressure remains over the Eastern Pacific. Moderate seas
will prevail through the weekend then gradually increase next
week.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM to 9 PM PDT Sunday for Pt Arena
     to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Sunday to 3 AM PDT Monday for Pt
     Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...MM
MARINE...MM

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