707
FXUS66 KMTR 262127
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
227 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 148 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

- Below to near seasonal normal temperatures through Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 223 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025
(This evening through Sunday)

It is deja vu today with the stratus cleared out inland this
afternoon, lingering at the coastal regions and flowing into the
northern San Francisco Bay, expanding inland stratus this evening
and overnight, breezy onshore winds through the evening hours,
and temperatures remaining cooler than seasonal averages across
the region. High temperatures today range from the lower 70s to
lower 80s inland, up to the upper 80s in the warmest spots of
southern Monterey County, the middle 60s to lower 70s near the
Bays, and the upper 50s to lower 60s at the Pacific coast. Low
temperatures hover in the 50s throughout the region, while highs
on Sunday will be similar to today`s with a few degrees of warming
inland.

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 148 PM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025
(Sunday night through next Friday)

The forecast will  be mostly on repeat this period. The marine layer
is expected to compress Sunday into early next week falling to
around 1000ft +/- a couple of hundred feet. This will keep the
stratus creeping too far inland; however, a deepening marine looks
to return mid week. What does that mean, No Sky July continues and
we`ll start off August as Fogust. Cloudy nights, stratus retreating
to the coast during the day, and near seasonal to below seasonal
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1028 AM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

Solid marine layer to start the day with widespread IFR to MVFR
conditions with a mix of drizzle to light rain at times. However,
latest trends from observations, satellite, and cams are showing
gradual improvement. Terminals LVK/SJC and southward will be
going VFR by 19Z if they haven`t already. SFO/OAK northward will
struggle to clear by 20Z with continued onshore flow and solid
stratus feed. The near term wrinkle in all of it is the stratus
deck over the waters is a mix of open/close cellular strato-cu.
Meaning, we`re seeing pockets of rapid clearing given some low
level mixing. That being said, confidence is moderate to high
(60-80%) that SFO/OAK will see at least a few hours of VFR this
afternoon. Fro tonight, more of the same with a marine layer
cloud deck returning early and persisting through most of the TAF
period.

Vicinity of SFO...CIGS have lifted, but still BKN. Will keep
previous 2030Z SCT time as it still looks reasonable. Cigs return
early this evening and then lower again by Sunday AM.

SFO Bridge Approach...Earlier clearing of approach, especially S
end of SF Bay.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Transitioning to VFR 18-19Z. Cigs return
early this evening.

&&

.MARINE...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 931 AM PDT Sat Jul 26 2025

Light to moderate northwest winds remain over the coastal waters
as high pressure remains over the Eastern Pacific. Moderate seas
will prevail through the weekend then gradually increase next
week.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM to 9 PM PDT Sunday for Pt Arena
     to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Sunday to 3 AM PDT Monday for Pt
     Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DialH
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...MM
MARINE...MM

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