191 FXUS65 KREV 080905 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 205 AM PDT Tue Jul 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Seasonably warm, dry, and breezy conditions expected today. * Increased afternoon breezes will induce areas of elevated to locally critical fire weather conditions Tuesday and Wednesday. * Seasonably hot conditions through Thursday will precede a heatwave Friday through the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Seasonably warm, dry, and breezy conditions continue this week thanks in part to a nearly stationary closed low off the central California coast. While this low briefly triggered showers and isolated storms in N.Lassen County yesterday, it will now usher in a robust dry slot, which will significantly limit precipitation or clouds for that matter across the region today. The driest air will settle along Mono County into the southern Tahoe Basin and western Nevada through mid-week, with PWATs falling to 0.10-0.20, which is among the driest 10% for this time of year. As such, expect poor overnight humidity recovery across the southern Sierra and western Nevada during this period. We will begin to see elevated to isolated areas of critical fire weather conditions due to the combination of low humidity and increased winds as the low begins to track inland through mid- week. The best chances favor Wednesday as afternoon westerly wind gusts approach 25-30 mph across western Nevada with minimum RH dipping into the single digits. Otherwise we will continue with our seasonable heat as temperatures trend back to down to right around average by Wednesday with lower 90s for western Nevada valleys and near 80 for Sierra communities. Above average heat then returns by the weekend with highs returning to the upper 90s to near the 100 degree mark across western Nevada with upper 80s to near 90 for Sierra valleys. Overall Saturday could be our first shot at the 100 degree mark in Reno this year. While not record breaking heat, it will result in widespread moderate to locally major HeatRisk in hotter Basin and Range valleys. Be sure to plan your weekend accordingly, and practice your heat safety precautions if you will be in the heat for extended periods this weekend. Fuentes && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail with typical westerly breezes materializing this afternoon. Afternoon wind gusts near 25 knots through Wednesday may produce areas of moderate low level turbulence and LLWS during the afternoon hours. Fuentes && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...None. CA...None. && $$