003
FXUS66 KLOX 082035
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
135 PM PDT Sun Jun 8 2025

.SYNOPSIS...08/108 PM.

Night through morning low clouds and fog will continue for the
next several days over the coast and valleys with slow, if any,
clearing at the coast. A warming trend will continue through the
middle of the week, mainly for inland areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-WED)...08/122 PM.

A typical June pattern continues across the region as a weak upper
low moves east into Arizona. The marine layer was a few hundred
feet less deep this morning but still around 2500 feet in the LA
Basin and around 1800 feet along the Central Coast. Temperatures
inland were a little warmer but otherwise highs today have been
within a few degrees of Saturday with low clouds continuing to hug
much of the coast. Pressure gradients from the north are
increasing today as models has predicted so there will be a slight
bump in Sundowner winds across southwest Santa Barbara County
later this afternoon and evening to go along with the typical
daily southwest winds in and around the Antelope Valley.

With the upper low moving east there will be a slight rise in
heights/thicknesses the next couple days which should result in
2-4 degrees of warming inland each day through Tuesday. However, a
moderate to strong onshore flow will keep temperatures at
coastal areas steady with plenty of marine layer stratus well into
the afternoon. Little change or possibly a degree or two of
cooling is expected Wednesday as the ridge aloft starts to
weaken in response to an upper low moving into the eastern
Pacific.

.LONG TERM (THU-SUN)...08/134 PM.

The inland cooling trend will continue through at least Friday and
likely into Saturday with most of the ensembles favoring a trough
along the West Coast. High temperatures are expected to be within
a few degrees of normal with typical morning (and for coastal
areas extending into the afternoon) marine layer and gusty onshore
winds across the interior in the afternoon.

Model consensus drops off later next weekend as models are mixed
on whether high pressure over Arizona will expand west in
California or if the more typical June trough pattern continues.
The latter would be the most likely outcome.

&&

.AVIATION...08/1734Z.

At 1700Z at KLAX, the marine inversion was 2300 feet deep. The
top of the inversion was 5000 feet with a temperature of 22
degrees Celsius.

High confidence in VFR TAFs for KPMD and KWJF.

Low confidence in TAFs for KPRB, KBUR, and KVNY. Arrival of cigs
may be off +/- 2 hours. There is a 30% chance KPRB remains VFR
through the period, and a 10% chance for KBUR and KVNY. If cigs
arrive, there is a 40% chance for LIFR cigs at KPRB.

Moderate confidence in remaining TAFs. There is a chance for no
clearing at KOXR (40%), KCMA (20%), KSMO (30%), KLGB (30%) and
KLAX (40%). Otherwise, arrival times of cigs may be off +/- 2
hours. Minimum flight cats may be off by one cat once cigs arrive
again tonight.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. There is a 40% chance for no
clearing today. Otherwise, return of cigs and flight cat changes
may be off +/- 2 hours. No east wind component is expected.
KBUR...Low confidence in TAF. Arrival of cigs could be +/- 2
hours of current forecasts. There is a 10% chance that VFR conds
prevail through the period.

&&

.MARINE...08/123 PM.

For the Outer Waters, high confidence in current forecast. Across
PZZ673/676, winds will increase to Small Craft Advisory (SCA)
levels today and remain at SCA levels through Thursday. For
PZZ670, there is a 30-40% chance of SCA level through tonight,
then high confidence in winds increasing to SCA levels on Monday
and remaining at SCA levels through Thursday. Seas will increase
to SCA levels late in the week.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. Today through Monday, there is a
30-40% chance of SCA level winds in the afternoon and evening
hours. For Tuesday through Thursday, there is a 60-80% chance of
SCA level winds in the afternoon and evening hours. Seas will
increase to SCA levels late in the week.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. For the majority of the southern
Inner Waters, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below
SCA levels through Thursday. The only exception will be the
western half of the Santa Barbara Channel with a 70-80% chance of
SCA level winds through tonight, then a 30-50% chance of SCA
level winds Monday through Thursday, during the late afternoon and
evening hours.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...NONE.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 9 PM PDT this evening
      for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Monday for
      zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MW
AVIATION...Lewis
MARINE...RAT/Lewis
SYNOPSIS...MW/Ciliberti

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox