550
FXUS66 KMTR 240031
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
531 PM PDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...New AVIATION, MARINE...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 205 PM PDT Mon Jun 23 2025

A seasonal weather pattern will continue much of this week with
temperatures running near normal. Look for warm days followed by
cool overnights as coastal low clouds and fog spread locally
inland night and morning hours while sunny skies will prevail
inland.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 205 PM PDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Coastal stratus has retreated to the coast with the marine layer
depth just over 1000 feet. Low clouds continue to cover Pt Reyes
and a little eddy outside the Golden Gate has kept a sliver of
fog/low clouds south of Angel Island while areas west of the
Avenues remain cloudy out to Ocean Beach. As of 1 pm we have temps
ranging from the upper 50s at the coast to mid/upper 80s inland.
The synoptic pattern features an upper low near Bakersfield that
is helping to generate some convection over the Southern Sierra
with even some cumulus build ups over the higher terrain of San
Benito county. Surface gradients remain relatively light with
less than 2 mb SFO-Sac and light gradients down the coast keeping
afternoon seabreeze winds a little weaker than normal. For tonight
expect the low clouds along the coast to slowly spread into the
coastal valleys of the Monterey Bay region with not too much of an
inland push for the Bay Area. Overnight lows generally in the 50s
with similar afternoon highs forecast for Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 205 PM PDT Mon Jun 23 2025

A gradual and modest inland warming trend forecast Weds and into
the weekend. 500 mb heights become more zonal by Weds and then
show a weak troughing signal by the weekend but the main message
is no big ridge. Nonetheless inland temps should warm by Thursday
and Friday with inland low to mid 90s becoming more common.
However the overall pattern will continue to feature onshore wind
flow regime keeping the coast and bays mild. As noted this
morning SST are quite cool at around 50-51 degrees.

Long range trends for next week currently show a pattern with a
trough over the Pacific NW that will keep the Four-Corners high
well to our east. So continued near to slightly below normal temps
likely heading into July with no monsoon or precip intrusions
currently portended.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 531 PM PDT Mon Jun 23 2025

The onshore pressure gradient SFO-SAC is 3.1 mb while the marine
layer depth is approx 1100 feet. Stratus and fog will move inland
tonight and Tuesday morning, then mix out back to the immediate
coastline Tuesday afternoon. A little light coastal drizzle is
possible tonight and Tuesday morning.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR, then MVFR 09z 17z tonight and Tuesday. West
to northwest wind gusting to 30 knots through 04z this evening,
decreasing to near 10 knots tonight and Tuesday morning.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Stratus and fog /LIFR-IFR/ tonight and
Tuesday morning, with clearing back to near the coastline Tuesday
afternoon. Onshore winds 5 to 15 knots.

&&

.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Sunday)
Issued at 517 PM PDT Mon Jun 23 2025

Moderate to fresh northwesterly breezes, with occasional strong
gusts, will prevail through the week. Seas will be moderate though
Wednesday and build to rough by the end of the week.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 AM PDT Tuesday for CAZ006-506-508.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for SF Bay N of
     Bay Bridge.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for Pt Arena to Pt
     Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM Tuesday to 3 AM PDT Wednesday for
     Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...Canepa
MARINE...RGass

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