710
FXUS64 KMEG 062334 AAA
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Memphis TN
534 PM CST Thu Mar 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 517 PM CST Thu Mar 6 2025

-Mostly dry and seasonal weather will prevail through the rest of the
 work week.

-Light showers emerging Friday night and becoming more widespread
 by Saturday morning. Isolated thunderstorms are possible
 Saturday afternoon into evening.

-Dry conditions return early Sunday. Warmer temperatures will
 prevail through midweek. Rain chances return Wednesday as the
 weather pattern becomes unsettled.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through next Wednesday)
Issued at 251 PM CST Thu Mar 6 2025

Warmer temperatures have arrived in the Midsouth and will continue
to warm tomorrow. Surface high pressure and a weak ridge aloft have
resulted in clear and dry conditions across the Midsouth today
and should continue tomorrow as both of these features shift east
into Middle Tennessee. Highs tomorrow should be mostly in the 60s
across the area, although a few low 70s are possible in north
Mississippi. Return flow will return to the south central US
tomorrow ahead of a weak cold front poised to move across the
middle Mississippi River Valley Friday night. Post frontal rain
showers should begin late Friday night and continue Saturday.
Instability looks minimal Saturday afternoon, but an isolated
thunderstorm cannot be ruled out in north Mississippi.

Dry conditions are expected to return late Sunday, but there
remains considerable disagreement in how long showers will linger.
Temperatures will trend warmer Sunday through midweek with most of
the area in the 70s Tuesday through Thursday. Rain chances return
Wednesday as the weather pattern becomes unsettled due to an
upper low moving across the lower to middle Mississippi River
Valley.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 PM CST Thu Mar 6 2025

No significant aviation weather concerns through 12Z, as dry
surface high pressure prevails.

The surface high will lift off to the east on Friday, with a
quick and vigorous return of southerly surface flow by late
morning. Surface winds will gradually veer to the southwest
through the day Friday, in advance of cold frontal passage after
06Z Saturday.

PWB

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...PWB