502
FXUS64 KSHV 020707
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
207 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday through Tuesday)
Issued at 105 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Upper-level ridge to strengthen across the region during the
short-term period allowing for mainly dry conditions areawide.
Subsidence associated with the ridge to bring slightly warmer high
temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s both today and
Tuesday.

At the surface, high pressure centered across the Appalachians
into the ArkLaTex will maintain light southeast winds across most
locations today. However, winds speeds forecast to increase to
around 10 mph on Tuesday as the pressure gradient increases in
response to a deepening low across Oklahoma into Kansas. /05/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 105 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Rain chances will increase across southeast Oklahoma and adjacent
counties in southwest Arkansas and northeast Texas on Tuesday
night as a frontal boundary to the northwest begins to shift
southeast across these areas. As upper-ridge migrates east, flow
to become southwest across much of the central CONUS through
Thursday allowing the frontal boundary to linger across the
region. Increased southern stream moisture combined with the
lingering front could allow for above average rain chances across
the region from Wednesday into Thursday. Additionally, post-
frontal temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s can be expected
along and north of I-30 on Wednesday into Thursday.

Front to lift north on Friday as an upper-level ridge across
Mexico builds across the northern Gulf of America, placing the
ArkLaTex in the northern periphery of the ridge. Disturbances
translating within near zonal flow aloft could lead to increased
convective chances across Oklahoma and Arkansas through the
weekend. Otherwise, hot and dry conditions expected across east
Texas and north Louisiana on Saturday and Sunday as afternoon
temperatures approach the mid 90s. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Conditions remain VFR across all terminals, with KLFK still
hanging on to some VCTS for another hour or so. Skies will be
mostly clear with light and variable winds through the early
morning. I have some light, patchy fog in for KLFK around
daybreak. I also have some lower VFR ceilings for the western
sites accompanied by spotty shower development through Monday
afternoon before clearing out again in the evening. /57/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 115 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  92  72  93  75 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  91  69  91  72 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  88  69  89  69 /   0   0  10  40
TXK  92  71  92  73 /   0   0   0  20
ELD  90  67  91  70 /   0   0   0  10
TYR  89  72  90  74 /  10   0  10  30
GGG  89  70  91  72 /  10   0   0  20
LFK  91  72  92  73 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...57