207
FXUS64 KLZK 130540
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1240 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025

-Daily rain chances will persist through late week, providing
 localized relief from short term rainfall deficits.

-Near normal temperatures will be seen through Wed/Thu before
 increasing to well above normal values for the weekend into next
 week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025

Main interest in the short term revolves around the slow moving
H500 trough progressing east across the region. This feature has
kept and will continue to keep ridging at bay to the SE and SW. As
several disturbances lift northeast through the trough, isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop
especially during the afternoon/evening hours. Some precip may
persist into the overnight hours as lingering/remnant boundaries
aid in precip longevity.

With the overall flow remaining light and PW values in the
1.50-2.00 inch range or higher, some locally heavy downpours can
be expected. Coverage overall should remain limited, which will do
little to improve shortfall rainfall deficits. But, some areas
will receive locally beneficial rainfall.

By late week into the weekend, the mid-level trough will be well
east of the region. In its wake, H500 ridging will become
reestablished across much of the central/southern US. This will
allow temperatures to climb and rain chances to decrease across
Arkansas and surrounding areas.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1205 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025

Generally VFR conditions expected across the area through the
period. Winds will be variable in direction at less than 10 kts.
Some isolated RA/TS activity expected Wednesday afternoon, but
overall coverage appears fairly limited.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     94  71  94  72 /  30  10  30  10
Camden AR         95  72  94  73 /  40  20  40  10
Harrison AR       90  68  91  70 /  10   0  20  10
Hot Springs AR    96  73  95  73 /  40  20  40  20
Little Rock   AR  93  74  94  75 /  40  20  40  10
Monticello AR     96  74  94  74 /  40  20  50  10
Mount Ida AR      93  71  93  72 /  30  20  30  20
Mountain Home AR  91  68  93  70 /  20  10  20  10
Newport AR        93  72  94  73 /  30  10  20  10
Pine Bluff AR     95  73  94  73 /  30  20  40  10
Russellville AR   96  73  96  74 /  30  10  30  10
Searcy AR         94  71  94  72 /  40  10  30  10
Stuttgart AR      94  74  93  74 /  30  20  30  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...67