674 FXUS64 KSHV 021143 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 643 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 642 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Sent out a quick update to add pops to portions of east Texas as a few stray showers and isolated thunderstorms may move into Tyler before gradually dissipating through mid-morning. /05/ && .SHORT TERM... (Monday through Tuesday) Issued at 105 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Upper-level ridge to strengthen across the region during the short-term period allowing for mainly dry conditions areawide. Subsidence associated with the ridge to bring slightly warmer high temperatures in the upper 80s to lower 90s both today and Tuesday. At the surface, high pressure centered across the Appalachians into the ArkLaTex will maintain light southeast winds across most locations today. However, winds speeds forecast to increase to around 10 mph on Tuesday as the pressure gradient increases in response to a deepening low across Oklahoma into Kansas. /05/ && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through Monday) Issued at 105 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Rain chances will increase across southeast Oklahoma and adjacent counties in southwest Arkansas and northeast Texas on Tuesday night as a frontal boundary to the northwest begins to shift southeast across these areas. As upper-ridge migrates east, flow to become southwest across much of the central CONUS through Thursday allowing the frontal boundary to linger across the region. Increased southern stream moisture combined with the lingering front could allow for above average rain chances across the region from Wednesday into Thursday. Additionally, post- frontal temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s can be expected along and north of I-30 on Wednesday into Thursday. Front to lift north on Friday as an upper-level ridge across Mexico builds across the northern Gulf of America, placing the ArkLaTex in the northern periphery of the ridge. Disturbances translating within near zonal flow aloft could lead to increased convective chances across Oklahoma and Arkansas through the weekend. Otherwise, hot and dry conditions expected across east Texas and north Louisiana on Saturday and Sunday as afternoon temperatures approach the mid 90s. /05/ && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 607 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 There are some low level clouds moving through much of East Texas this morning, with some light fog around KLFK and a few pop up storms initiating west of KTYR. Recent model runs have these storms gradually weakening as they move southeast, so I left things as VCTS for now. Low end VFR cloud cover should increase through the day today ahead of the next round of showers, which will likely only impact our East Texas terminals through the afternoon. Clouds should then clear out through the night tonight. Surface winds will generally be southeasterly to southerly at less than 5kts, although gustier winds will be possible around areas of convection. /57/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 115 AM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 Spotter activation will not be needed today or tonight. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 93 73 93 75 / 10 0 10 10 MLU 91 69 91 72 / 0 0 10 0 DEQ 88 69 89 69 / 0 0 10 40 TXK 92 71 92 73 / 0 0 10 20 ELD 90 67 91 70 / 0 0 10 10 TYR 89 72 90 73 / 20 0 10 30 GGG 89 71 91 72 / 10 0 10 20 LFK 91 71 92 73 / 10 0 10 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...57