437
FXUS64 KTSA 090236
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
936 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 934 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Sfc ridge axis remains in place across the local forecast area
resulting in light winds under mostly clear skies. Forecast
trending toward the lower side of guidance for overnight lows is
on track and the evening update will incorporate observed trends.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Above normal afternoon temperatures will prevail areawide through
Saturday, with limited fire weather concerns for the end of the
week and also on Saturday. A low (10-20 percent) chance for
morning showers and thunderstorms will exist in parts of eastern
Oklahoma both Thursday and Friday in response to a couple of upper
level disturbances expected to push southward on the eastern
periphery of the upper level ridge to the west. Unfortunately, any
rainfall that occurs on these mornings will be more of a teaser
than anything, with wetting rains very unlikely.

The big change in the weather will accompany a strong cold front
that will move through the region on Sunday. Much cooler
temperatures will follow the front, lingering well into the next
work week. Afternoon highs during part of the next week could be
around 10 degrees below normal. Rain is not currently expected
with the frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Tue Oct 8 2024

Few to scattered high clouds along with winds varying between
northeast and south are forecast across the CWA through the TAF
period. VFR conditions should persist through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   51  87  57  86 /   0   0  10  20
FSM   52  85  53  86 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   52  87  54  86 /   0   0  10  20
BVO   45  88  52  87 /   0   0  20  20
FYV   44  85  49  85 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   47  82  50  84 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   52  83  55  83 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   47  85  53  86 /   0   0   0   0
F10   52  85  56  84 /   0   0  10  20
HHW   52  85  53  84 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....22
AVIATION...20