323
FXUS64 KLZK 230559
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1159 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 118 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

-Low rain chances through early week before drying and warming
 conditions

-Well above normal temperatures starting Tuesday and persisting
 through the rest of the week

-Next rain chances over the weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 211 AM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Surface dewpoints in the upper 20s to lower 30s continue to
linger early this morning, but with increasing moisture return out
of the southwest in the lower atmosphere will result in dewpoints
in the 50s by this evening. With enhanced low level moisture in
place going into the middle of the week, a couple of week waves
may result in some light shower activity, although chances remain
relatively low (10-20%) across the region.

Mid to upper level ridging will amplify across the center of the
country through the middle portions of the week, resulting in a
sharp warming and drying trend starting Tuesday. Highs in the 70s
may occur as early as Tuesday (50-80% chance), and continuing
more towards the middle 70s through the Christmas holiday.
Depending on location, record high temperatures may be in play
Wednesday through Friday, as record highs from Dec 24-26 range
from the middle 70s to lower 80s.

Uncertainty in the weather pattern grows going through the
weekend, although highs in the 70s should continue through
Saturday. The spread in the weather outlook late this weekend into
early next week is in regards to a Pacific trough that`ll deepen
throughout this week and either remain progressive or cutoff from
the main flow. Should the progressive pattern prevail, much cooler
temperatures near normal may begin as early as Sunday with
increasing rain chances. Otherwise, temperatures will remain well
above normal going into next week, with rain chances delayed
towards the end or beyond the extended forecast until the cutoff
low off the West Coast ejects eastward.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1154 PM CST Mon Dec 22 2025

Mix of MVFR/IFR conds are expected overnight. A warm front will
slowly lift Nwrd across AR through the AM hrs which will further
lower CIGs as low stratus becomes more widespread. Also mentioned
VIS restrictions due to potential of advection FG along the dew
pt gradient through the AM hrs. Conds should improve to MVFR on
Tues by mid/late morning. Winds should be SWrly at 10-15 kts.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     52  71  59  76 /  10   0  10  10
Camden AR         60  72  57  75 /  10   0  10   0
Harrison AR       50  73  58  75 /   0   0  10   0
Hot Springs AR    54  71  59  73 /  10  10  10   0
Little Rock   AR  56  71  60  75 /  20  10   0  10
Monticello AR     62  73  60  76 /  10   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      57  72  60  75 /  10  10  10   0
Mountain Home AR  49  73  57  76 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        54  72  61  74 /  10   0  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     60  73  60  75 /  10  10   0   0
Russellville AR   53  73  60  77 /  10   0  10   0
Searcy AR         52  72  58  75 /  20  10  20  10
Stuttgart AR      59  72  61  75 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM....77
AVIATION...70