375 FXUS64 KMEG 021958 AFDMEG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 258 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 ...New DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 200 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 - Dry conditions are expected to continue through at least the first half of Wednesday. High temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to near 90 degrees. - An unsettled weather pattern will return by Thursday through the weekend, with multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Heavy rain is possible. && .DISCUSSION... (This evening through next Sunday) Issued at 200 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 A ridge currently centered just west of the Mississippi River along with a surface high centered over the Ohio Valley will keep us dry, but warm tonight through at least midday Wednesday. Current temperatures are in the middle 80s across much of the Midsouth and are expected be even warmer tomorrow. Highs this afternoon should be in the middle to upper 80s. Much of the region will approach the 90 degree mark tomorrow afternoon. The ridge will shift over the Appalachians tomorrow and the surface high will shift off the southeast coast. Meanwhile a broad trough and associated cold front will shift out of the central and southern plains. The pressure gradient will tighten across the middle and lower Mississippi River valley tomorrow resulting in south winds in the 10-15 mph range with gusts near 20 mph. The cold front should stall somewhere over western Missouri into western Arkansas Wednesday afternoon in response to weak ridging over the Plains downstream of a deepening trough over the Desert Southwest. Ahead of the front, dew points will surge into the upper 60s to low 70s while afternoon highs climb into the upper 80s. Diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms look likely. Thursday through the weekend appear to be much wetter with slightly cooler temperatures as we shift into a much more progressive pattern. Southwest flow Thursday will transition to zonal flow Friday, to northwest flow over the weekend. Numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected, reaching a crescendo Sunday. It is a bit early to have much confidence in the threat of severe thunderstorms, but at this time conditions do not look very favorable. However, as the weekend evolves, the multiple rounds of storms could result in a flooding threat. Currently 1-3 inches of rain is expected, most falling late Saturday into Sunday. 30 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 VFR forecast with no impacts to aviation expected. Fair weather cumulus and light southerly winds will prevail this afternoon and evening. Some backing of winds to a more southerly component will occur tonight, lasting through the end of the period. Gusts could get up to 15-20 knots by 18z tomorrow that will last through the afternoon. && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. && $$ PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS AVIATION...JAB