414
FXUS65 KFGZ 110903
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
203 AM MST Wed Jun 11 2025

.SYNOPSIS...A few lingering showers are possible Wednesday
afternoon, primarily across eastern Arizona. Otherwise, warm and
dry weather looks to stick around through the weekend and into
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Light showers remain across northern Apache and
Navajo County tonight, but activity should continue to clear
through early morning. Drier air is anticipated to dominate much
of our CWA today, but between daytime heating and any lingering
mid- level moisture, a stray shower or two across eastern Arizona
is not out of the question for this afternoon.

For the rest of the week and into the first part of next week, a
strong area of high pressure will continue to build across the
Southwest. From this, daytime highs are forecast to land 2-10
degrees above normal with typical spring-like breezes each
afternoon. Keeping the warmer temperatures in mind, an Extreme
Heat Warning may be warranted for the Grand Canyon this weekend,
but more decisions will be made on that later this week.

Towards the middle of next week, model guidance suggests some form
of a low pressure system sliding across Arizona. Confidence behind
any moisture accompanying this system is low, but we`ll likely see
temperatures drop a few degrees and increased southwest winds.

&&

.AVIATION...Wednesday 11/06Z through Thursday 12/06Z...Expect
VFR conditions. ISOLD -SHRA through 08Z over northern Navajo and
Apache counties, otherwise clearing overnight. ISOLD -SHRA/-TSRA
then redeveloping and limited to portions of mainly Apache County
for Wednesday afternoon. Winds light overnight, W-SW10-20g25kts
again AFT 18Z-20Z Wednesday. Gusty and/or erratic winds near any
high-based shower activity.

OUTLOOK...Thursday 12/06Z through Saturday 14/06Z...Expect VFR
conditions. Daytime sfc winds W-SW10-20g25-30kts each day. Winds
becoming light each night.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today and Thursday...A few high based showers or dry
thunderstorms over the Chuskas and White Mountains today, but the
rest of the area dries out as high pressure moves in.  Dry weather
expected across the whole region on Thursday.  Daytime temperatures
a few degrees above normal each day and minimum relative humidities
from 10-15 percent. Winds SW-W 10-20 mph, gusts 20-30 mph each day.

Friday through Sunday...Dry region wide with temperatures warming up
5-10 degrees above average. Expect minimum relative humidity values
10-15 percent for Friday, and 5-10 percent Saturday and Sunday.
Winds SW 10-20 mph, gusts to 25 mph each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Konieczny
AVIATION...Peterson
FIRE WEATHER...Bernhart

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff