904
FXUS64 KMOB 210645
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1245 AM CST Sun Dec 21 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1245 AM CST Sun Dec 21 2025

  - Fog development is possible late tonight, potentially becoming
    dense in some locations.

  - A moderate rip current risk will return Monday into the middle
    of next week as easterly winds increase over the Gulf.

  - Well above normal temperatures are expected all week,
    including Christmas Day.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1245 AM CST Sun Dec 21 2025

A light southeasterly to southerly today has brought boundary
layer moisture northward. Patchy fog will continue to develop
tonight into Sunday morning, with localized visibilities down to
one-half mile possible. Zonal flow aloft today will shift
northwesterly as a very broad upper level shortwave over the
eastern CONUS moves out over the western Atlantic. Upper level
impulses are expected to traverse the Deep South today and tonight
between the shortwave and the elongated upper ridge over the
northern Gulf, southern Texas, and northern Mexico. When combined
with increasing moisture in the lower levels and a weak cold front
slipping into our area today that will stall near the coast
tonight, there is a chance of showers today into Monday, with the
highest PoPs along and northwest of the I-65 corridor. A storm or
two is possible over our southeastern Mississippi zones this
afternoon. The upper ridge to our south will slowly build
northward Monday night into midweek, thus keeping our forecast
area dry and very warm over the Christmas holiday and into the
weekend, with highs rising into the lower to middle 70s, with
upper 70s definitely possible inland areas.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through
tonight, and then become a MODERATE risk Monday through midweek
due to an increasing easterly flow over the Gulf. A LOW risk of
rip currents should resume Wednesday night through Thursday. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Sat Dec 20 2025

Very low clouds will develop and increase in coverage overnight
with patchy fog development late tonight. Localized VLIFR and
LIFR ceilings and IFR visibilities are expected into Sunday,
followed by VFR visibilities and mostly MVFR ceilings through the
remainder of the forecast. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1245 AM CST Sun Dec 21 2025

Mariners operating small craft over the Gulf will need to exercise
caution late tonight and Monday as an easterly flow increases to
moderate to occasionally strong. Otherwise, a light southeasterly
to easterly flow will prevail throughout the week. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      73  57  70  52 /  30  40  10   0
Pensacola   70  57  67  55 /  10  10   0   0
Destin      69  55  68  55 /  10  10   0   0
Evergreen   71  51  69  47 /  30  30   0   0
Waynesboro  70  54  68  50 /  50  20  20   0
Camden      65  50  65  46 /  40  20  10   0
Crestview   72  50  70  47 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$