155 FXUS64 KMOB 050524 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1224 AM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025 ...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 Upper ridging continues to be dominant over the south-central CONUS through the weekend. Upper troughing splits over the southeastern CONUS with part of this retrograding westward across the forecast area this weekend. Upper ridging then builds in across the region for next week. As better moisture returns to the area throughout the atmospheric column, more typical afternoon scattered showers and storms are expected to become established by late this weekend into next week as better moisture returns to the area. Hot temperatures can be expected each day with highs topping out in the lower to middle 90`s and overnight lows in the lower to middle 70`s. Heat indices will generally stay below heat advisory criteria in the 95 to 105 range, perhaps sneaking to near advisory criteria by the middle of next week in the 100 to 107 range. A Low risk of rip currents remains through the weekend and early next week. MM/25 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 VFR flight category prevails for most locations outside of lingering firework smoke (happy 4th of July!) reducing visibility to MVFR flight category late this evening into the early overnight. Once lingering smoke disperses, VFR flight category will once again prevail through the day today outside of any afternoon showers or storms. Winds will be light and variable if not calm through daybreak before turning more easterly into the afternoon around 5 to 10 knots. MM/25 && .MARINE... Issued at 1146 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025 No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. A light diurnal flow pattern this weekend becomes a light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to westerly flow for next week with showers and thunderstorms increasing in coverage across the marine waters. MM/25 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 74 94 72 91 72 92 74 93 / 10 30 20 50 20 60 10 50 Pensacola 77 93 75 90 76 91 77 92 / 20 30 40 60 20 60 10 50 Destin 79 94 77 91 79 91 79 93 / 20 40 50 60 30 50 10 50 Evergreen 71 96 71 93 71 95 72 95 / 10 20 10 40 10 40 10 40 Waynesboro 71 96 71 94 70 95 72 95 / 0 20 10 30 10 30 0 40 Camden 71 93 71 93 71 93 72 93 / 10 10 10 20 10 30 10 30 Crestview 71 95 72 92 71 93 73 94 / 20 30 30 60 10 70 10 60 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob