744
FXUS64 KBMX 021747
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1247 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2025

High pressure will move east through the state today with low and
mid level winds out of the east. The area could see a few clouds
this afternoon with weak moisture and warm air advection
prevailing, though coverage should not be widespread enough to
impact temperatures. Highs in the mid to upper 80s, a couple of
degrees above normal will be expected this afternoon.

Tonight and Tuesday, the high pressure moves east of the area,
stalling out along the east coast and western Atlantic. A pressure
gradient will increase along the western fringes of the state as
a boundary moves towards the state from the northwest. Winds could
become breezy late in the afternoon Tuesday, but the area should
remain rain free with the high pressure preventing more rain from
moving or developing in the state.

24

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1112 AM CDT MON JUN 2 2025

Looks like we will begin to moisten up some on Wednesday, as the
ridge begins to allow more southerly flow into the area. Isolated
to scattered afternoon, summertime showers and storms. Looks like
the best coverage will be across the south. By Saturday a front
will try to slide south as the ridge slides east some and a trough
tries to develop over the Eastern CONUS. The front will try to
slide south into the northern half of the area on Sunday. A few
stronger storms will be possible, especially in the afternoon and
into the evening hours, depending on where and when the activity
develops. Probabilities are 70 to 90 percent that rain will occur
across the north so confidence is fairly high that is will rain on
Sunday.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1207 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2025

High pressure and VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF
period.

AMD NOT SKED at KMGM due to obs not transmitted.

24

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Fair weather is forecast through Tuesday. An increase in moisture
and the proximity of various weather systems will result in
instances of showers and storms starting on Wednesday. Coverage will
vary from day to day with the best activity occurring over the
weekend. Afternoon minimum RHs will remain above critical thresholds
(upper 30s to 40s) over the coming days with 20-foot winds averaging
less than 10 mph.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     61  88  66  87 /   0   0   0  30
Anniston    63  87  68  86 /   0   0   0  30
Birmingham  65  88  71  88 /   0   0   0  30
Tuscaloosa  64  89  70  88 /   0   0   0  30
Calera      64  87  69  86 /   0   0   0  30
Auburn      66  87  69  85 /   0   0   0  50
Montgomery  63  89  70  88 /   0   0  10  50
Troy        63  89  69  87 /   0  10  10  60

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...24