744 FXUS64 KBMX 021747 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 1247 PM CDT Mon Jun 2 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Tuesday) Issued at 1207 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2025 High pressure will move east through the state today with low and mid level winds out of the east. The area could see a few clouds this afternoon with weak moisture and warm air advection prevailing, though coverage should not be widespread enough to impact temperatures. Highs in the mid to upper 80s, a couple of degrees above normal will be expected this afternoon. Tonight and Tuesday, the high pressure moves east of the area, stalling out along the east coast and western Atlantic. A pressure gradient will increase along the western fringes of the state as a boundary moves towards the state from the northwest. Winds could become breezy late in the afternoon Tuesday, but the area should remain rain free with the high pressure preventing more rain from moving or developing in the state. 24 && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through next Sunday) Issued at 1112 AM CDT MON JUN 2 2025 Looks like we will begin to moisten up some on Wednesday, as the ridge begins to allow more southerly flow into the area. Isolated to scattered afternoon, summertime showers and storms. Looks like the best coverage will be across the south. By Saturday a front will try to slide south as the ridge slides east some and a trough tries to develop over the Eastern CONUS. The front will try to slide south into the northern half of the area on Sunday. A few stronger storms will be possible, especially in the afternoon and into the evening hours, depending on where and when the activity develops. Probabilities are 70 to 90 percent that rain will occur across the north so confidence is fairly high that is will rain on Sunday. 16 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2025 High pressure and VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. AMD NOT SKED at KMGM due to obs not transmitted. 24 && .FIRE WEATHER... Fair weather is forecast through Tuesday. An increase in moisture and the proximity of various weather systems will result in instances of showers and storms starting on Wednesday. Coverage will vary from day to day with the best activity occurring over the weekend. Afternoon minimum RHs will remain above critical thresholds (upper 30s to 40s) over the coming days with 20-foot winds averaging less than 10 mph. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 61 88 66 87 / 0 0 0 30 Anniston 63 87 68 86 / 0 0 0 30 Birmingham 65 88 71 88 / 0 0 0 30 Tuscaloosa 64 89 70 88 / 0 0 0 30 Calera 64 87 69 86 / 0 0 0 30 Auburn 66 87 69 85 / 0 0 0 50 Montgomery 63 89 70 88 / 0 0 10 50 Troy 63 89 69 87 / 0 10 10 60 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....16 AVIATION...24