204
FXUS64 KMOB 010709
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
209 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

...New Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 209 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

The local area will remain on the backside of an upper level
through through Monday. A weak shortwave will dive southward
through the trough and move across our region through the
afternoon and early evening. This may be enough to generate a few
light showers, however most areas will remain dry due to a lack of
deep layer moisture. It could also be a bit hazy tomorrow
afternoon as mid/high level smoke from the wildfires in Canada has
been wrapping around this system, and it is expected to spread
over our entire area. The trough moves away on Monday with upper
ridging building across the area. Lows tonight will be in the low
60s inland to near 70 along the coast. Highs will be in the
mid/upper 80s today and upper 80s to around 90 on Monday. /13

A broad upper trof spanning the western and central states on
Tuesday slowly spreads into the eastern states through Friday,
and in the process pushes an eastern states upper ridge well off
into the western Atlantic. An upper trof in the easterlies
centered over the Florida peninsula meanwhile drifts just a bit to
be over the far eastern Gulf and the Florida peninsula through
Thursday before weakening somewhat Friday into Saturday. In
response to this feature, a surface low appears to develop over
the extreme southeast states at some point Wednesday into
Wednesday night and then drifts towards the Carolinas late in the
work week. Another surface low passing well off to the north
meanwhile brings a trailing cold front into the interior southeast
states on Friday, which may settle slowly into or just north of
the forecast area on Saturday. Dry conditions are expected for
Tuesday with the upper ridge over the area, then pops trend to
chance pops areawide by Thursday as the environment becomes more
convectively favorable. Chance to likely pops follow for Friday
and Saturday as the frontal boundary approaches, then potentially
moves into the area. A low risk of rip currents on Tuesday will be
followed by a moderate risk for Wednesday and Thursday. /29

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 209 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025

No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. /13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      87  67  89  68  89  71  89  72 /  10  10   0   0  10  10  30  10
Pensacola   86  71  87  72  88  76  87  75 /   0  10   0   0  10  10  30  20
Destin      87  73  89  74  89  76  89  76 /   0   0   0   0  10  10  20  20
Evergreen   87  63  91  64  93  68  91  68 /  10  10   0   0  10   0  20  10
Waynesboro  86  63  89  65  91  68  91  69 /  20  20   0   0  10   0  30  10
Camden      84  63  88  65  91  68  90  68 /  10  10   0   0   0   0  20  10
Crestview   89  64  92  65  93  68  91  69 /  10  10   0   0  10   0  30  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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