631
FXUS62 KTAE 011414
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1014 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1013 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

The forecast looks in good shape and no updates are necessary.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

Enjoying the post-frontal air-mass. The upper level trough is
providing the west-northwesterly flow, while surface high pressure
will keep us nice and dry. An afternoon seabreeze will shift winds
southwesterly for our Florida counties. Temperatures today will be
warm with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Rain chances are near
zero. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM & LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

A gradual warming and moistening trend will continue a steady
creep of temperatures rising a few degrees each day into midweek.
A shortwave dropping southeastward out of the MS River Valley on
Sunday/Sunday night could lead to a few showers and storms to the
north and west, but overall moisture for our area should be too
low to support convection. Warming and moistening is expected over
the area through midweek, although mid-level ridging should keep
PoPs low to none until it begins to break down later in the week.
As the ridge breaks down, an inverted trough approaching from the
southeast will help daily showers and thunderstorms to blossom
over the area once again late week and into the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM...

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Winds will
become westerly this afternoon and southwesterly for terminals
affected by the seabreeze (ECP and TLH).

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

With high pressure in control, winds will be light and variable
for a few days before easterlies set in for mid week, occasionally
reaching 15 knots as the high moves east.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

In this post-frontal air mass, minimum relative humidity values will
be in the 30s and will remain above critical values. However, there
will be fire weather concerns with the dispersion indices for Today
and again on Tuesday. Expect pockets of high dispersions along the I-
75 corridor and in the AL/FL wiregrass regions. Monday will have
fair dispersions. Tuesday is forecast to have high dispersions
across all districts. Transport winds today will be light, shifting
westerly and southwesterly closer to the coast following the
seabreeze. The seabreeze can be expected each afternoon. Winds will
become easterly by Tuesday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025

Although recent rainfall has caused a couple of rivers to rise into
action stage, dry conditions are expected for the next several days
and no flooding is expected.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   90  68  92  69 /   0  10   0   0
Panama City   86  71  88  71 /   0  10   0   0
Dothan        86  66  89  68 /   0  10   0   0
Albany        87  66  90  68 /   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      89  68  92  69 /   0  10   0   0
Cross City    89  65  92  67 /   0   0  10   0
Apalachicola  84  71  85  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Montgomery
SHORT TERM...Merrifield
LONG TERM....Merrifield
AVIATION...Montgomery
MARINE...Merrifield
FIRE WEATHER...Montgomery
HYDROLOGY...Merrifield