631 FXUS62 KTAE 011414 AFDTAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1014 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 ...New UPDATE... .UPDATE... Issued at 1013 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 The forecast looks in good shape and no updates are necessary. && .NEAR TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 Enjoying the post-frontal air-mass. The upper level trough is providing the west-northwesterly flow, while surface high pressure will keep us nice and dry. An afternoon seabreeze will shift winds southwesterly for our Florida counties. Temperatures today will be warm with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s. Rain chances are near zero. Lows tonight will be in the mid to upper 60s. && .SHORT TERM & LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 A gradual warming and moistening trend will continue a steady creep of temperatures rising a few degrees each day into midweek. A shortwave dropping southeastward out of the MS River Valley on Sunday/Sunday night could lead to a few showers and storms to the north and west, but overall moisture for our area should be too low to support convection. Warming and moistening is expected over the area through midweek, although mid-level ridging should keep PoPs low to none until it begins to break down later in the week. As the ridge breaks down, an inverted trough approaching from the southeast will help daily showers and thunderstorms to blossom over the area once again late week and into the weekend. && .LONG TERM... && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 644 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Winds will become westerly this afternoon and southwesterly for terminals affected by the seabreeze (ECP and TLH). && .MARINE... Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 With high pressure in control, winds will be light and variable for a few days before easterlies set in for mid week, occasionally reaching 15 knots as the high moves east. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 In this post-frontal air mass, minimum relative humidity values will be in the 30s and will remain above critical values. However, there will be fire weather concerns with the dispersion indices for Today and again on Tuesday. Expect pockets of high dispersions along the I- 75 corridor and in the AL/FL wiregrass regions. Monday will have fair dispersions. Tuesday is forecast to have high dispersions across all districts. Transport winds today will be light, shifting westerly and southwesterly closer to the coast following the seabreeze. The seabreeze can be expected each afternoon. Winds will become easterly by Tuesday. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 153 AM EDT Sun Jun 1 2025 Although recent rainfall has caused a couple of rivers to rise into action stage, dry conditions are expected for the next several days and no flooding is expected. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 90 68 92 69 / 0 10 0 0 Panama City 86 71 88 71 / 0 10 0 0 Dothan 86 66 89 68 / 0 10 0 0 Albany 87 66 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 89 68 92 69 / 0 10 0 0 Cross City 89 65 92 67 / 0 0 10 0 Apalachicola 84 71 85 72 / 0 0 0 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...Montgomery SHORT TERM...Merrifield LONG TERM....Merrifield AVIATION...Montgomery MARINE...Merrifield FIRE WEATHER...Montgomery HYDROLOGY...Merrifield