161
FXUS64 KHUN 122312
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
612 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 322 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Additional moisture along with daytime heating has resulted in
isolated to scattered shower and thunderstorm development this
afternoon. This activity started over NE Alabama, which have moved
across eastern Tennessee. Other storms fired over and around NW
Alabama, and were slowly tracking to the NNE across NW and north
central Alabama, so far to the west of I-65. Otherwise away from
shower activity, 3 PM temperatures have risen into mid 80s to
around 90 with SSW winds of 5-10 mph.

Shower activity now in progress should fade as we go into the
evening. However, some of the guidance was showing an approaching
upper level system, that could bring more chances of showers and
storms coming in from the west this evening. Otherwise, mild
conditions are forecast for tonight, with lows from the mid 60s NE
Alabama to lower 70s elsewhere.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 1037 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

A near rinse-and-repeat forecast is on tap for Friday through the
weekend as the aforementioned area of low pressure meanders across
the local area. Much higher rain and storm chances exist/increase
as we go into the weekend, with Friday/Saturday housing the best
shot for Northern AL/Srn Middle TN. Heavy rainfall will again be
the primary hazard during this time. PWATS will keep the sticky
conditions in place this weekend, topping out at/near 2", which
will remain near the daily max/record PWAT Climatology for the
CWFA.

Rises on area creeks may occur in areas where showers/storms
repeatedly train across locations, so this will be monitored as we
head into next week. Daytime highs in between showers will top out
in the middle to upper 80s, with a few spots making a run at 90
degrees. This will cause heat index values to creep upward as we
end the weekend and head into the new work week.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 1049 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

An active pattern will continue through Father`s Day weekend and
into early next week as the broad upper-low lingers across the
Deep South. This will result in medium to high chances for showers
and storms each day, favoring the afternoon and evening hours. A
few of these storms could become locally strong, but the main
concern will continue to be the potential for locally heavy
rainfall from these very efficient rain-producing thunderstorms.
Dense cloud cover and high rain chances will keep highs in the mid
80s during this timeframe, with peak heat index values remaining
in the mid to perhaps upper 80s. Ridging will begin to take shape
by midweek, lowering rain chances and potentially giving us more
heat impacts by Wednesday as heat indices are forecast to peak
above 100 degrees -- with a few locations flirting with Advisory
criteria.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

VFR conditions will be the predominant flight category through the
period. Widespread SHRA/TSRA will develop during the day on Friday
and have added prevailing SHRA to the forecast after 18z, with a
PROB30 for MVFR TSRA impacts late in the period. AWWs and
amendments may be needed during this window.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...RSB
SHORT TERM....12
LONG TERM....AMP
AVIATION...AMP.24