489 FXUS64 KMOB 011122 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 622 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 209 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 The local area will remain on the backside of an upper level through through Monday. A weak shortwave will dive southward through the trough and move across our region through the afternoon and early evening. This may be enough to generate a few light showers, however most areas will remain dry due to a lack of deep layer moisture. It could also be a bit hazy tomorrow afternoon as mid/high level smoke from the wildfires in Canada has been wrapping around this system, and it is expected to spread over our entire area. The trough moves away on Monday with upper ridging building across the area. Lows tonight will be in the low 60s inland to near 70 along the coast. Highs will be in the mid/upper 80s today and upper 80s to around 90 on Monday. /13 A broad upper trof spanning the western and central states on Tuesday slowly spreads into the eastern states through Friday, and in the process pushes an eastern states upper ridge well off into the western Atlantic. An upper trof in the easterlies centered over the Florida peninsula meanwhile drifts just a bit to be over the far eastern Gulf and the Florida peninsula through Thursday before weakening somewhat Friday into Saturday. In response to this feature, a surface low appears to develop over the extreme southeast states at some point Wednesday into Wednesday night and then drifts towards the Carolinas late in the work week. Another surface low passing well off to the north meanwhile brings a trailing cold front into the interior southeast states on Friday, which may settle slowly into or just north of the forecast area on Saturday. Dry conditions are expected for Tuesday with the upper ridge over the area, then pops trend to chance pops areawide by Thursday as the environment becomes more convectively favorable. Chance to likely pops follow for Friday and Saturday as the frontal boundary approaches, then potentially moves into the area. A low risk of rip currents on Tuesday will be followed by a moderate risk for Wednesday and Thursday. /29 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 621 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 MVFR conditions are possible with isolated afternoon to early evening convection mostly over southeast Mississippi, with otherwise VFR conditions expected to prevail. West to southwest winds 5-10 knots develop this morning, then become light and variable this evening. /29 && .MARINE... Issued at 209 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025 No impacts expected other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms. /13 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 87 67 89 68 89 71 89 72 / 10 10 0 0 10 10 30 10 Pensacola 86 71 87 72 88 76 87 75 / 0 10 0 0 10 10 30 20 Destin 87 73 89 74 89 76 89 76 / 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 Evergreen 87 63 91 64 93 68 91 68 / 10 10 0 0 10 0 20 10 Waynesboro 86 63 89 65 91 68 91 69 / 20 20 0 0 10 0 30 10 Camden 84 63 88 65 91 68 90 68 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 20 10 Crestview 89 64 92 65 93 68 91 69 / 10 10 0 0 10 0 30 10 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob